The federal Liberals have widened their lead over the Conservatives, with new Nanos Research tracking showing growing public support as economic issues and Canada’s relationship with the United States remain the top concerns for voters.
According to the latest weekly survey, the Liberals stand at 47.1 per cent, followed by the Conservatives at 27.9 per cent and the New Democratic Party at 12.7 per cent. The Bloc Québécois trails at 6.1 per cent, while the Green Partysits at 3.8 per cent and the People’s Party of Canada at 1.9 per cent.
The Liberals also maintain a commanding lead on the Nanos Party Power Index, scoring 65.8 points, compared with 42.2 for the Conservatives and 34.6 for the NDP. The index combines voting intention with leadership impressions and other measures of political strength.
Prime Minister Mark Carney continues to dominate preferred prime minister rankings, with 56 per cent of Canadians choosing him as their first choice, well ahead of Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre, who stands at 18.4 per cent. No other federal leader received more than four per cent support.
Nanos Research noted that the Liberal surge coincides with renewed Canada-U.S. trade tensions following U.S. President Donald Trump’s announcement of 50 per cent tariffs on Canadian goods. According to the analysis, the Liberals have consistently gained politically whenever the Canada-U.S. relationship becomes more strained.
Economic issues remain Canadians’ top priority. Jobs and the economy ranked as the country’s leading concern at 21.3 per cent, followed by the Canada-U.S. relationship (10.5 per cent), cost of living (9.5 per cent) and the environment (8.1 per cent). The poll found concern over Canada-U.S. relations and environmental issues has increased in recent weeks, while worries about the cost of living have eased somewhat.
The survey was conducted using a four-week rolling sample of 1,037 Canadians ending July 31, 2026, and has a margin of error of ±3.1 percentage points, 19 times out of 20.
