27 August: Prime Minister Justin Trudeau has dismissed comparisons to U.S. President Joe Biden’s political trajectory, emphasizing that his focus is on delivering a strong agenda to lead the Liberals into the next federal election. During a retreat with his cabinet in Halifax, Trudeau reiterated his commitment to remaining as Liberal leader and seeking a rare fourth consecutive mandate from Canadians in 2025, a feat not accomplished since Sir Wilfrid Laurier over a century ago.
Trudeau’s comments came as the Liberals observed the recent Democratic convention in the U.S., where Kamala Harris emerged as a key figure, energizing the party. Reflecting on this, Trudeau stated that the takeaway for the Liberals is to address the real concerns of Canadians and offer tangible solutions.
“We are going into the next election with a clear choice for Canadians,” Trudeau remarked, emphasizing the importance of delivering what Canadians need during these challenging times. He also defended his economic policies amidst rising inflation and a cost-of-living crisis, highlighting programs like child care and dental care as examples of his government’s response to public needs.
Trudeau criticized Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre for his approach to economic issues, suggesting that Poilievre would cut essential programs if elected and accusing him of declaring the Canadian economy broken. Meanwhile, Poilievre leads Trudeau in the polls, with data indicating significant voter dissatisfaction linked to economic concerns.
Pollster Nik Nanos pointed out that Trudeau is currently perceived as a central figure for voter discontent, particularly regarding economic and job-related issues. “Trudeau is trailing Poilievre by double digits in both voter support and as the preferred Prime Minister,” Nanos noted, adding that Poilievre’s potential mistakes could shift the current momentum away from Trudeau.
The Liberals are gearing up for a by-election in Montreal on September 16, following a surprise loss in a previously secure Toronto seat earlier this summer. This loss has prompted some within the party to question Trudeau’s leadership, though only one MP has publicly called for his resignation. The upcoming by-election in the Montreal riding of LaSalle-Émard-Verdun, a traditional Liberal stronghold, is seen as another crucial test for Trudeau’s leadership.
Finance Minister Chrystia Freeland and Immigration Minister Marc Miller have publicly expressed their confidence in Trudeau’s leadership, underscoring their belief that he is the right person to lead the party into the next election. Miller particularly emphasized the importance of focusing on the positive impact of Liberal programs, rather than resorting to political attacks, which he implied is the approach taken by Poilievre.